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  • PETROL, GAS AND TOLL HIGHWAY RATES WILL BE INCREASED – PETROL RM2.60 IN 2015?

    Read the full news reporting by Royce Cheah and Razak Ahmad from Reuters below.

    PETROL, GAS AND TOLL HIGHWAY RATES WILL BE INCREASED – PETROL RM 2.60 IN 2015?

    KUALA LUMPUR, May 27  – Malaysia will hike petrol, gas and toll highway rates under a five-year plan to cut subsidies, if to proposals made by PEMANDU, a body advising the government on how to cut subsidies are enacted.PEMANDU is now lead by Minister in Prime Minister’s Department Idris Jala.

    The government has yet to make a decision on the planned subsidy cuts and may not do so for some months.

    Subsidy cuts proposed involving 12 items:

    PETROL

    Petrol prices to be increased 15 sen in June-Dec 2010, then 10 sen hikes every six months between Jan 2011-Dec 2012 and by a lesser amount in following years.

    Petrol prices seen at :

    2.16 ringgit in 2011
    2.20 ringgit in 2012
    2.34 ringgit in 2013
    2.52 ringgit in 2014
    2.60 ringgit in 2015.

    The forecast for crude oil in 2011 is $73.06 per barrel and for 2013-2015 in the region of $79.41-94.52.

    TOLLS

    Renegotiation with PLUS highways in 2010 and with LDP Highways by 2013. Propose that all concession agreements would proceed without subsidies, resulting in a toll hike of between 10-67 percent for 2010.

    GAS

    Gas price is increased by a fixed rate of RM3/MMBTU every six months from initial increase for power sector and non-power sector.

    Gas price increase of RM3/MMBTU every six months corresponds to an increase in electricity tariff of 1.6 sen/kWh every six months.

    Electricity tariff for lifeline consumers (in 2010, less than 200 kWh) would not be increased. About 56 percent of households will not be affected in 2010.

    Consumers with a monthly bill of 20 ringgit and below will continue to get free electricity until Dec 2010.

    Strategic industries will be protected initially.

    INFLATIONARY IMPACT

    Estimated impact on inflation:

    A 5 percent increase in petrol prices would result in a 0.4 percentaage points rise in the consumer price index.

    A 10 percent increase would cause the CPI to go up by 0.82 percentage points. Fuel represents 7.7 percent of the CPI basket.

    TOTAL SAVINGS

    In 2010, government will save about 3.0 billion ringgit. In 2011, 14 billion ringgit, 21 billion rgt in 2012,  29.5 billion ringgit in 2013 and 35 billion in 2014.

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